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AST·18 Astronomy & Space 7 MIN · 8 STATIONS

Leap seconds

A Socratic walk-through of leap seconds — reasoned out one step at a time, not lectured.

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The question we started with

THE QUESTION #

Why does the whole world have to argue about inserting a single second?

One second. Not a leap day, which reshuffles everyone's calendar and provokes no argument at all. A single second, inserted at midnight, roughly every eighteen months on average. And yet it took forty years of committee work, two deferred international votes, and finally a resolution of the General Conference on Weights and Measures in November 2022 to decide its fate.

So the puzzle is not really about seconds. Something about this particular second makes it far harder to agree on than its size suggests. What is it?

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Reasoning it through

REASONING #

Start by noticing that we are trying to serve two masters with one number. Since 1967 the second has been defined by a caesium transition — a fixed, uniform interval that knows nothing about the Earth. But the day is defined by the Earth turning, and the Earth is not a good clock. Tidal friction is slowing it over geological time; the atmosphere, the oceans, and motions in the core shift it about on scales of weeks to decades.

So you have two time scales. International Atomic Time, TAI, simply counts caesium seconds. Universal Time, UT1, tracks the actual rotation of the planet. They drift apart, and the drift is not predictable more than a few months out.

Now ask the design question. If you want one civil time scale, which do you break? Civil time is UTC, and the choice made in 1972 was: keep UTC's seconds identical to atomic seconds, and whenever UTC threatens to run more than 0.9 seconds ahead of the Earth, insert an extra second so it falls back into step. Twenty-seven such seconds have been added since 1972, all of them positive, the most recent at the end of 2016. TAI now runs 37 seconds ahead of UTC.

Here is where the trouble begins, and it is worth being precise about the mechanism. A leap second is not a small error; it is a discontinuity. The minute 23:59:59 is followed by 23:59:60, a timestamp that a great deal of software simply does not believe exists. Time appears to stand still or repeat. Anything that assumes clocks increase monotonically — log ordering, database replication, lock timeouts, scheduling loops — can behave strangely, and in 2012 a Linux kernel bug triggered by the insertion took down a range of well-known services. The correctness of a distributed system frequently rests on the clock never going backwards.

Now who bears which cost? This is the heart of it. Astronomers, and anyone pointing an instrument at the sky or navigating by it, need a time scale tied to the Earth's actual orientation, because a second of rotation is about 0.46 kilometres at the equator. Operators of networks, satellites, finance systems and telecoms want a smooth, predictable, never-discontinuous count. Neither group is being unreasonable. They want different things from the same shared number.

And here is the property that makes it an argument rather than a decision. A time standard is only valuable because everyone else uses it. Its worth comes entirely from agreement, so no single party can improve its own position by defecting — a laboratory that unilaterally stopped applying leap seconds would not be more accurate, it would merely be wrong relative to everybody. That means the choice cannot be made by anyone locally; it can only be made collectively, and any collective body contains all the parties with conflicting costs.

There is a further wrinkle that people find surprising. Since about 2020 the Earth has been spinning slightly faster, and several of the shortest days on record have occurred in recent years. That raises the prospect of a negative leap second — deleting a second rather than adding one — which has never been done, and which essentially no software has ever been tested against. If insertion is risky, deletion is an untested risk.

The resolution, when it came, was characteristic of a coordination problem: not to solve the disagreement but to widen the tolerance. The 2022 resolution calls for the maximum permitted difference between UTC and UT1 to be increased by or before 2035, which in practice retires the leap second without abolishing the link to the Earth outright. The difference will simply be allowed to accumulate, and how it will eventually be handled is left to be settled later.

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The analogy

THE ANALOGY #
THE FIGURE

Think of a country deciding to change which side of the road it drives on — as Sweden actually did, at 5 a.m. on 3 September 1967. The choice itself is nearly arbitrary; left and right are both perfectly good. What makes it hard is that the value of the rule lies entirely in everyone following the same one, so no individual driver can adopt the better convention early. It has to be everyone, at one instant, by agreement, and every vehicle, sign and junction in the country is an affected party with its own conversion cost.

WHERE IT BREAKS DOWN

Sweden's switch was a single, scheduled, permanent event, whereas leap seconds are a recurring and unpredictable perturbation that must be re-coordinated every time — and, more importantly, the side of the road has no external referent, while UTC is tethered to a real Earth whose rotation will keep drifting no matter what anyone votes.

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Clarifying the model

THE MODEL #

The misconception worth correcting is that this is a fight between precision and convenience, with the astronomers being fussy. It is not. Both camps want precision; they want it in different quantities. Atomic time is precisely uniform and imprecise about where the Earth is pointing. Rotational time is precise about the Earth's orientation and non-uniform in interval. You cannot have one number with both properties, so the question was never technical — it was about which of two irreconcilable needs the shared standard should serve, and who absorbs the mismatch.

Notice too what the 2022 decision does not do. It does not sever civil time from the Earth. It lets the two drift further before intervening, which converts a frequent small discontinuity into a rare large one. That is a trade, not a fix, and the eventual large correction is a problem deliberately handed to a later generation.

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A picture of it

THE PICTURE #
Leap seconds
Leap seconds Follow the loop first: the disc of states on the left is the regime we have lived in since 1972, and it closes -- drift, announce, insert, back in step, drift again. The branch out of the drifting state is the change agreed in 2022, which does not close the loop but simply raises the threshold that triggers it. The note marks where the coordination cost actually lands: not in the physics, but in the requirement that every party act together. {"generator":"[email protected]","source":"../Socrates/.diagram-cache/_src/leap-seconds.md","sourceIndex":1,"sourceLine":4,"sourceHash":"ab50a84956fe6a195259964c7152545b9015db5ff0f055d55beacead49d50023","diagramType":"stateDiagram","layoutVariant":"source","repairedDuplicateIds":[],"motion":"entrance-with-reduced-motion-fallback","presentation":"editorial","attempt":1,"viewBox":{"x":0,"y":0,"width":824,"height":820},"qa":{"passed":true,"findings":[]}} Earth's rotation wanders gap approaches 0.9seconds six months of notice gap reset toward zero the 2022 resolution Clocks in step Rotation drifting from atomictime Leap second announced by theIERS Extra second inserted worldwide Wider tolerance after 2035 Every operator must actat the same instant.No one can opt out.

How to readFollow the loop first: the disc of states on the left is the regime we have lived in since 1972, and it closes — drift, announce, insert, back in step, drift again. The branch out of the drifting state is the change agreed in 2022, which does not close the loop but simply raises the threshold that triggers it. The note marks where the coordination cost actually lands: not in the physics, but in the requirement that every party act together.

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What became clearer

WHAT CLEARED #
WHAT CLEARED

The argument was never about a second. It was about a shared standard whose entire value is agreement, serving two constituencies with incompatible needs, where the cost of any choice falls unevenly and nobody can move alone. That is what makes a technically trivial adjustment into a four-decade diplomatic problem — and why the eventual answer was to loosen the constraint rather than to decide who was right.

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Where to go next

ONWARD #
  • How distributed systems now sidestep the discontinuity with leap smearing, and why the smears are mutually incompatible.
  • What a negative leap second would actually require, and why nobody wants to be first.
  • How UT1 is measured in the first place, given that it depends on watching distant quasars.
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Key terms

TERMS #
TermWhat it means
TAIInternational Atomic Time; a continuous count of caesium seconds with no leaps.
UT1a time scale defined by the Earth's actual rotation angle, measured against distant radio sources.
UTCCoordinated Universal Time; atomic seconds, kept within 0.9 s of UT1 by leap seconds.
Leap secondan extra second inserted into UTC, appearing as the timestamp 23:59:60.
IERSthe International Earth Rotation and Reference Systems Service, which announces leap seconds.
Leap smearingspreading the adjustment over hours so clocks stay monotonic, at the cost of being briefly off-standard.

Every term the collection defines is gathered in the glossary.

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